A node does not "separate", it unites. The numbers indicate the degree of support given to the clade that stems from the branch above which they are placed. As Morgan said, a Bayesian posterior probability of 0.43 is pitiful, while a BPP of 1 is very high. The analysis gives strong support (BPP = 1) to a clade equivalent to the broad
Porphyrio (= swamp-hens +
alleni +
martinica +
flavirostris), to this clade minus
alleni (= swamp-hens +
martinica +
flavirostris), and to a clade equivalent to the restricted
Porphyrio (swamp-hens only). It gives poor support (BPP = .43) to a possible sister-group relationship between
martinica (i.e.,
Ionornis) and
flavirostris (i.e.,
Glaucestes).
That being said :
- Poor support given to a clade in an analysis does not amount to evidence running against the existence of this clade. The node uniting martinica and flavirostris was strongly supported in Garcia-R & Trewick 2015, using a broader genetic data set (the same 4 mitochondrial genes, plus two nuclear genes) than in Verry et al 2023 -- there is nothing in the 2023 tree that can be interpreted as invalidating the 2015 results.
- I'd generally be cautious with purely Bayesian analyses, as they sometimes give high support to nodes that get poor support in ML analyses. I would hesitate to interpret a node with a BPP of 1 but a ML bootstrap support below, say, 70 as very strongly supported.