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Might Waxwings breed? (2 Viewers)

Andy1979

Well-known member
Apologies if this is already being discussed in a thread, but I couldn't find one. With the large numbers of Waxwings remaining (presumably due to the weather...?), what chance of a breeding attempt? Or has there been one before?
 
But more helpfully - not here! In other years there have been late flocks, but never, as far as I know, even the faintest suggestion of anything more. Would love to be proved wrong, of course!
 
I think it's very unlikely that Waxwings would breed in Britain. In good years it's quite common to have birds around into May, but that doesn't mean they're going to breed. In their breeding areas in Scandinavia and Russia it will still be 'winter' at the moment, hence them still being present here.
 
Parkin & Knox 2010 (The Status of Birds in Britain & Ireland): "Birds may remain well into May, but there are no breeding records in GB&I".
 
I haven't heard of waxwings in my country lately, so I guess they have already migrated northward. It is starting to get hot, we will have 30 Celsius on Friday.
 
25% probability that they're male and female... :t:

...or maybe slightly higher if males aren't usually pals at this time of year.

Probably got this wrong, but wouldn't that be 50%??? (If you start with one Waxwing its 50% chance the others a different sex - so for any two Waxwings etc)

And if it wasn't one of each (ie not a pair), but they were politely taking it in turn to feed on any berries present, at least you could say it was a civil partnership?
 
Probably got this wrong, but wouldn't that be 50%??? (If you start with one Waxwing its 50% chance the others a different sex - so for any two Waxwings etc).
Indeed, Dan! Sorry, too much red wine today... ;)

And to think my daughter got a maths PhD. It's definitely not in the genes... :C
 
I've only been on the beer, so I feel qualified to say no it is a 50% chance ;)

There are four possible combinations:
Bird 1 is male, bird 2 is male
Bird 1 is male, bird 2 is female
Bird 1 is female, bird 2 is male
Bird 1 is female, bird 2 is female

So 2/4 possibilities lead to a male and female = 50%

Been on the wine too but wouldn't it be a 33.3% chance. ie 3 options, 2m, 2f or 1m1f?

Phil
 
I've only been on the beer, so I feel qualified to say no it is a 50% chance ;)

There are four possible combinations:
Bird 1 is male, bird 2 is male
Bird 1 is male, bird 2 is female
Bird 1 is female, bird 2 is male
Bird 1 is female, bird 2 is female

So 2/4 possibilities lead to a male and female = 50%

But Richard's assertion was that there was a 25% chance of them being male and female with no distinction between which one was which, therefore.........more wine.

Phil
 
This assertion was wrong (because there are 2/4 ways the birds could be male and female), which Richard acknowledged in post #12.

But Richard's assertion was that there was a 25% chance of them being male and female with no distinction between which one was which, therefore.........more wine.

Phil
 
But if bird 1 is male and bird 2 is female or vice versa it still amounts to the same thing ie. one of each.
Maybe time for coffee.

Phil
 
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