how do ground nesting birds manage?
If they didn't................... they wouldn't!
Yes but ...
There is some evidence that the big declines in birds we have seen over the last few decades was from a very high peak previously, and that peak was reached because of man's shooting interests and control of vermin. Control of ground predators - mustelids, foxes, badgers etc. might have been very important (even if control of raptors was not).
IIRC Chris Mead related the case of Holkham marshes something like this : the biggest peewit breeding colony in Britain, perhaps Europe (650 pairs ??) collapsed to a few pairs when gamekeepers were laid off 20-30 years ago. When farming income came under pressure in the late 90s shooting income was again actively sought, foxes were controlled and the peewit came back.
While Perry Grin's comment is true, the balance is not all that stable, and man can have a major influence.
On wet summers : and 2007 in our area. Skylark and yellowhammer in particular were visibly decimated, both from very healthy starting points. Grey partridge had a hard time, unfortunately from a relatively fragile position. Nationally the BTO nest record scheme has shown serious effects on other species such as blue and great tits.
Very wet periods in summer are predicted to increase in frequency due to global warming. This could have serious consequences, despite all our best efforts.
Mike.
P.S. I am not anti-fox. In fact, as a farmer I am pro-fox as they help keep down rabbits. As a conservationist I have mixed feelings ! Lovely to watch but ?