I have attached an excerpt from a publication (Ibis Volume 147 Issue 4
Page 803 - October 2005) that has a useful discussion about the
definition of a self-sustaining population:
DUDLEY, S.P. (2005). Changes to Category C of the British List. Ibis 147
(4), 803-820. Available at:
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1474-919X.2005.00470
.x
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Determining a self-sustaining population
When considering individual, often isolated, populations, it needs to be
determined whether any population is self-sustaining. Such a definition
should apply equally to populations both of naturally occurring breeding
populations and to naturalized non-native or established feral
populations. An essential feature of sustainability is the likelihood
that succeeding generations will persist. This matters for both
short-lived and long-lived species. A population is deemed to be
self-sustaining if it is considered probable that succeeding generations
will persist without human interference. However, measuring
sustainability is not always easy. Populations of long-lived species
might survive for many years without breeding - and therefore without
problems such as habitat change (affecting nest-site, roost site and
feeding availability, fledging success and predator avoidance) being
detected - or without breeding very successfully, before eventually
becoming established. Alternatively, individual birds might continue to
live long after a population ceased to be self-sustaining. Conversely,
populations of short-lived species may persist in the short term through
many breeding cycles until environmental change occurs, and the
population rapidly declines to extinction.
The overall size of a self-sustaining population may only be small, but
the establishment, over time, results in a stable population which a
natural event (e.g. diverse weather affecting breeding or survival) is
unlikely to reduce to a less than self-sustainable level, and which
would require direct intervention by Man (intentionally or accidentally)
to reduce the population to such a level that it would be deemed no
longer to be self-sustainable. A self-sustaining population is therefore
defined as one that survives at, or increases beyond, what is assessed
to be a viable stable level in a natural state in the wild in Britain.
For the purposes of the British List, species are admitted to Categories
C1-C4 if their populations are deemed to be self-sustaining. When a
naturalized population declines to a level that is deemed to be no
longer self-sustaining, the species will be placed in Category C6 even
if some individuals persist in the wild, e.g. Lady Amherst's Pheasant.
This paper covers all species placed on Category C before
recategorization in 1996 (Holmes et al. 1998) as well as some species
currently on Categories A, B, C, D and/or E where categorization issues
have been identified. Some of the conclusions differ from those
previously published by the BOU (e.g. in Vinicombe et al. 1993) because
numbers of some populations have increased or, using the definition of
self-sustaining above, a species is now deemed to be self-sustaining.
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